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USD News Radar v3

Trades gold on FOMC nights by breaking out of the first 30-minute range.

Research / add-on
2.6Fair
XAUUSDM1 / M5 around news

How it works

After an FOMC announcement gold often moves hard in one direction. The system waits for the first 30-minute range to form, then enters in the direction of the breakout.

  • Tested on real 1-minute gold data, 2013–2026
  • With so few trades the statistics are less stable than the other systems. Use it as an add-on only.

Latest version v3

Updated 2026-10-03

FOMC only

  • Tested many USD releases (NFP, CPI, FOMC and more). Only FOMC kept an edge.
  • Wait for the 30-minute range after the announcement, then enter in the breakout direction · SL mid-range · TP 3× the range
  • Very few trades (about 7 a year). Do not use it on its own.

Which timeframe

Best: M1–M5M1M5

Trades only 30–175 minutes after the FOMC announcement, using minute data.

Why this many trades: Very few trades because the FOMC announces only 8 times a year. (0.61 trades/month)

Version history

v3latest2026-10-03
FOMC only
View results →

Latest version results (v3)

Hypothetical 2013-06-19 – 2026-09-16 · Compounded, 1% risk per trade · FOMC nights only · Source: Python engine · Dukascopy gold M1/M5 2013–2026 · exit time estimated from M5 bars

Avg. return per year (compounded)
2.1%
Max drawdown
3.4%
Profit factor
1.91
Win rate
54.6%
Longest losing streak
3 trades
Trades
97
0.61 trades/month
Worst year
-1.5%
in 2015
Losing years
3 years
of 13 years
Profitable months
33.1%
Longest drawdown
826 days
Median hold
1.9h

Equity curve (starts at 100)

Linear scale · compounded

Drawdown (% from peak)

Yearly return

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